Fact-checking a David Nir claim about fees for Republican campaign donation conduit WinRed

AUTHOR’S NOTE: The administrator of this blog has, and uses, a DailyKos account under the handle DownstateDemocrat, but is not employed by DailyKos.


David Nir, the political director at the left-of-center political website DailyKos, claimed on Twitter earlier today that WinRed, an online political contribution conduit for Republican political candidates that is the Republicans’ equivalent of the Democrats’ ActBlue, effectively charges a 9.8% fee on a $5 donation to a Republican political candidate made through WinRed:

To prove Nir’s claim that a $5 donation to a Republican candidate via WinRed would result in a 9.8% fee being charged by WinRed, I used Nir’s description of the fee system WinRed uses (3.8% of the amount of the contribution, plus 30 cents) to create a spreadsheet showing how much Republican donors who use WinRed would actually pay, as well as the net fee percentage, for certain donation amounts. I have a policy of not directly linking to Republican websites on Apollo Corner, although Nir, in this DailyKos story that he authored, included a link to a WinRed page that included the description of WinRed’s fee policy. One only has to look at the sixth row of my spreadsheet to find that the effective rate on a $5 donation to a Republican candidate via WinRed is 9.8% of the donation, or, rounded up to the nearest cent, 49 cents, resulting in a total cost to a Republican donor of $5.49. On a related note, a Democratic donor donating $5 to a Democratic candidate via ActBlue would be charged a 3.95% fee, which, rounded up to the nearest cent, is 20 cents, making the total cost of a $5 donation to a Democratic candidate via ActBlue $5.20. Assuming that both WinRed and ActBlue round up fees to the nearest cent, it is 29 cents cheaper to donate $5 to a Democratic candidate via the tried and trusted ActBlue than it is to donate $5 to a Republican candidate via new, untrusted, and grifty WinRed.

Assuming that WinRed rounds up fees to the nearest cent, Nir’s claim that a Republican donor donating $5 to a Republican candidate via WinRed would be charged a 9.8% effective rate is absolutely true.

Fact-checking two Tulsi Gabbard claims about the Barr Letter and the Mueller Report

Yesterday, U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI), who is seeking the Democratic presidential nomination, claimed that now-former Special Counsel Robert “Bob” Mueller found that no collusion took place between the 2016 campaign of now-President Donald Trump and the Russian government, and that Mueller found Trump not guilty of collusion:

It is important to note that the full report of the Special Counsel’s findings (henceforth referred to as the Mueller Report) has not yet been publicly released in full, and that only a four-page summary of the Muller Report authored by U.S. Attorney General William “Bill” Barr (henceforth referred to as the Barr Letter) is currently publicly available. I will also note that I, the author of this blog post, am not an attorney, and I do not claim to be an attorney. I will also note that I am currently undecided on who to support for the Democratic presidential nomination next year.

There are two major parts to the Barr Letter. The second of the two parts deals with allegations that Trump obstructed justice, which is not the subject of either of Tulsi’s claims. The first of the two parts deals with allegations that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russian government to aid the Russian government’s efforts to influence the 2016 U.S. presidential election to the political benefit of Trump, which is the subject of both of Tulsi’s claims.

I will first examine Tulsi’s claim that the Trump campaign did not collude with the Russian government. On the second page of the Barr Letter, the Barr Letter quotes a portion of the not-yet-released Mueller Report, which states, “[T]he investigation did not establish that members of the Trump Campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities.”; a footnote at the bottom of the second page of the Barr Letter described the definition of “coordination” that Mueller used during his investigation as “an “agreement – tacit or express – between the Trump Campaign and the Russian government on election interference.””. It is unclear what the underlying meaning of “did not establish” is in the context of the Mueller investigation, since, due to the full Mueller Report not being publicly available at this time, it is not clear what evidence, if any, was considered by Mueller’s office during the investigation in regards to the allegations of collusion, and, therefore, it is not clear whether there was no evidence supporting the allegations of collusion, or there was not enough evidence supporting the allegations of collusion to warrant criminal charges against members of the Trump Campaign for crimes related to collusion between the Trump Campaign and the Russian government.

Based on the available facts, the truthfulness of Tulsi Gabbard’s claim that there was no collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government is not yet determined. A release of the full Mueller Report is necessary to determine whether Tulsi’s claim can be proven to be true or false.

I will now examine Tulsi’s claim that Trump was found not guilty of conspiring with a foreign government to interfere with U.S. elections. In regards to this claim, it is important to note that there is a significant difference between a criminal investigation by a prosecutor, which Mueller was during the time that the Special Counsel probe was active, and a criminal trial. A criminal trial in the U.S. federal jurisdiction is an adversarial proceeding in which one side is a prosecuting authority representing the “United States of America”, which is how the side that is levying the criminal charges is listed in a federal indictment, and the other side is/are the defendant(s), who are individual(s) or entit(y/ies) who have been charged by the prosecuting authority, with either a jury or, if a bench trial, the judge presiding over the trial, delivering a verdict either convicting (i.e., finding guilty) or acquitting (i.e. finding not guilty) the defendant(s). Tulsi’s claim has the implication that Trump was actually charged by either Mueller’s office or a different prosecutorial authority and was acquired in a criminal trial, which is not the case in regards to the Mueller investigation. There was never a criminal trial in which Trump was charged with collusion-related crimes; instead, there were simply no charges filed against Trump for collusion-related crimes or any other crimes.

Based on the available facts, Tulsi Gabbard’s claim that President Donald Trump was found not guilty of collusion is absolutely false. A false rating would not adequately describe how false Tulsi’s claim is, since there was never a criminal trial in which Trump could have been found guilty or not guilty of collusion-related crimes, and, therefore, no basis of truth to Tulsi’s claim exists.

“…the weirdest Trump speech I’ve ever heard” -Daniel Dale

Earlier today, Republican President Donald Trump addressed attendees at the far-right Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), an annual far-right political conference. Trump spoke for approximately two hours, in the longest speech he’s ever given during his presidency so far, and not only was it a long speech, it was completely bonkers. In fact, Daniel Dale, a journalist for the Canada-based Toronto Star newspaper who is best-regarded for his use of Twitter to fact-check Trump speeches in real time, called Trump’s speech “the weirdest Trump speech I’ve ever heard”:

This is a pretty good summary of Trump’s completely bonkers CPAC speech.

Here are just a few instances of Trump spewing total lies at CPAC:

I’m not going to post every single tweet of Daniel Dale’s thread on here, nor am I going to post a video of Trump’s CPAC speech (I haven’t even watched an actual video of Trump’s speech, although I’ve read Dale’s entire thread of his account of Trump’s speech), but Trump’s speech at this year’s CPAC was two hours of far-right insanity, to put it mildly. Just by reading Dale’s tweets about the Trump speech, it is a detailed and chilling account of the far-right cult of personality that Trump has cultivated.